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Intrix News
December 2004

Intrix News
Industry News
Economy in the region
International Overview


Intrix News

During this holiday season, Intrix wishes all of clients and friends the best for 2005. We thank you for your support and confidence and look forward to a continuing working relationship in the coming year. 2004 was a dynamic year for Intrix.  We expanded our geographical region establishing strategic alliances in China and India. We modernized our intranet and created our monthly newsletter to keep in touch with you.  We are prepared to work on the challenges and opportunities in the international arena we expect 2005 to present.




Industry News

Brazil electronic components crisis or opportunity? Brazil has a well developed electrical and electronics equipment industry.  Total sales of equipment are in the range $20 - 25bn per year for the period 1999 - 2003.  Of course, telecom equipment sales have declined dramatically from $5.5bn in 2000 to $2.9bn in 2003 but other sectors have been strong including industrial equipment and automation, computers and household appliances.  In this period most international producers have located plants in Brazil and Brazilian producers have invested in increased capacity.  Brazil has become a major worldwide producer in key sectors such as industrial motors, compressors and transformers, DVD players and mobile phone handsets.

So, how is Brazil managing the production of these products?  The real story lies behind the pattern of exports and imports.  Exports have risen strongly by 50% from 1999 - 2003 and stand at $4.7bn.  However, imports have remained stubbornly flat despite the devaluation and stand at $9.9bn in 2003 with an overall trade deficit of $5.2bn.  If we look at this deficit we see that it is a structural problem.  This is because $3.7bn consists of electrical and electronic components.  These are the fuel of the twenty first century.  Also, imports of electronic components are growing fast - up 50% since 1999. Electronic components account for 7 of the top 10 imported electronic products as shown in the table below.

Brazil needs to develop a set of programs to address this structural imbalance in electronic components.  In the past similar problems were faced by Taiwan, Korean, Hong Kong and  other countries as they transitioned from being assemblers of electronic products and equipment to being originators of domestically designed, developed and manufactured products.  It is a complex transition.  Brazil needs a coordinated program including:

* Identifying key components that drive products for which Brazil already has a world-class production and export sector such as in agribusiness electronics, mobile phones and industrial equipment.
* Building the infrastructure that equipment designers and developers need to develop and test the components needed for these products.  This infrastructure would include a semiconductor fabrication facility dedicated to rapid design and testing of components.
* A focused program to attract investments by the manufacturers of these key components from around the world.  This program needs to identify and address the opportunities and obstacles specific to the components being targeted.
* Coordinate with leading technical institutes a program to prepare exactly the required skill mix of engineers and technical personnel.

Brazil holds some enviable opportunities for key component manufacturers which will not only reduce the need to import, but will dramatically reduce design times and so enhance product competitiveness and exports.

If you are interested in this sector contact Jerry Owen at jerryowen@intrixcorporation.com

Brazil – Main Imported Electrical and Electronic Products (Based on 2003) in US Dollars (millions)

PRODUCTS

2000

2001

2002

2003

SEMICONDUCTORS

1,883.7

1,621.5

1,486.1

1,726.9

COMPONENTS FOR COMPUTERS

857.0

889.2

869.4

878.5

COMPONENTS FOR TELECOMMUNICATIONS

1,349.2

1,085.8

650.3

812.3

MOTOR-GENERATOR SETS

138.8

795.4

1,176.8

657.1

MEASURING INSTRUMENTS

553.8

651.1

531.3

510.5

ELECTRONICS FOR AUTOMOTIVE USE

409.4

451.8

423.8

454.3

COMPONENTS FOR INDUSTRIAL EQUIPMENT

196.5

362.0

312.7

316.6

OTHER ELECTRICAL MATERIAL FOR INSTALLATION

293.8

302.1

260.8

281.8

OTHER COMPUTER ITEMS

530.5

483.6

317.1

275.8

KINESCOPE

471.4

301.3

274.6

272.8

Total imports all electronic products

11,886

13,317

10,127

9,877

Source: MDIC/Secex       

 

 

 

 




Economy in the region

American consumerism in Mexico, as a result of many years of transnational companies entering the Mexican market with very aggressive and high-impact campaigns, many Mexicans have adopted American consumerism as a way of life. They are switching their traditional profile consumer habits to high consumption behavior.

This phenomenon is more notable in middle and high social classes, who are more exposed to the mass media and have higher disposable income. These people do not hesitate to buy imported products or do their shopping in the U.S even if there is a national alternative.
 
This "American consumerism in Mexico" does not mean that Mexicans have also come to admire American values. Mexicans remain strongly protective of their heritage and values.

There are certain high value products not often found in Mexico, but often purchased in the U.S. These products, such as personal electronics: palms, I-pods and digital cameras fall under the category of "cool novelty". There is a big opportunity for American investors who are willing to make their products accessible to the Mexican market




International Overview

Food Segments in China growing at fast pace, the growth of three specific food segments: organic, natural and fresh is representing the trend of the consumer food in China. This trend started in big cities such as Shanghai, where near 60,000 foreigners live, Beijing and Guandong.
According to the forecast of OMC (WTO) organic food will grow at 5% to 10% in 2005. 15% of the natural food in China is imported from foreign companies. The growth rate has been 12% during the last years. The lastest statistics indicate that consumption of fresh fruits has increased 9% in 2003 compared to 2002.  Under the new APEC framework, countries with strong food industry have an interesting opportunity in this sector.





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